Macro Environment
ETF Overview
CGDV
Capital Group Dividend Value
$47.45
β
$47.42
-0.06%
last close
-4.30% 20d
1.13x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 35.68
QQQ
Invesco Nasdaq-100
$647.05
β
$656.10
+1.40%
last close
-12.67% 20d
1.50x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 31.4
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500
$673.97
β
$675.99
+0.30%
last close
-5.53% 20d
1.80x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 35.18
RSP
Equal Weight S&P 500
$216.87
β
$216.05
-0.38%
last close
+1.41% 20d
1.29x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 49.26
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend
$35.42
β
$35.17
-0.71%
last close
+6.45% 20d
1.17x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 55.57
ALLW
Bridgewater All Weather
$28.94
β
$28.85
-0.31%
last close
-0.05% 20d
1.04x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 44.46
TQQQ
3x Leveraged Nasdaq-100
$50.47
β
$52.25
+3.53%
last close
-35.72% 20d
1.34x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 29.95
SOXL
3x Leveraged Semiconductors
$40.87
β
$45.97
+12.48%
last close
-67.11% 20d
2.12x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 29.16
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
$375.49
β
$372.52
-0.79%
last close
-3.14% 20d
0.84x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 47.89
LVHI
WisdomTree Low Vol High Div
$43.09
β
$42.85
-0.56%
last close
+2.51% 20d
1.42x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 51.59
VUG
Vanguard Growth
$81.43
β
$82.17
+0.91%
last close
-10.66% 20d
1.38x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 33.47
VTV
Vanguard Value
$223.88
β
$223.01
-0.39%
last close
+1.10% 20d
1.00x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 46.28
QQQ Technical Β· as of 2026-11-06
| MA | Value | Price vs MA | Trend(5d) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA5 | $672.29 | -2.41% | -4.876% |
| MA20 | $707.64 | -7.28% | -2.318% |
| MA120 | $717.22 | -8.52% | -0.189% |
| MA200 | $679.79 | -3.49% | +0.164% |
RSI 14
31.4
Neutral Β· based on the most recent confirmed daily close at generation time
VIX Index β 60D
Current
25.64
-9.01%
Higher VIX = higher implied volatility / risk perception.
CGDV Beta Drift (vs VOO) Β· as of 2026-11-06
1y0.937
6m0.928
3m0.923
1m0.935
Beta < 0.90 = defensive | Beta > 1.0 = aggressive | vs VOO
CGDV Holdings Β· as of 2026-11-06 | 52 stocks | Top 10: 38.5%
Position Changes (2026-11-05 β 2026-11-06)
Cash
3.13%
βΌ 0.74%
β² Top Buys (share % chg)
FTAI
+26.19%
(0.88%)
MU
+21.49%
(0.70%)
STX
+13.52%
(0.77%)
INTC
+12.87%
(0.47%)
TSM
+6.69%
(2.13%)
βΌ Top Sells (share % chg)
XOM
-4.10%
(1.15%)
MDT
-2.38%
(1.40%)
CNQ
-1.63%
(0.80%)
MA
-1.06%
(1.74%)
MSFT
-0.51%
(6.92%)
No new / closed positions
Fear & Greed β 30 Day Trend
CNN Fear & Greed index; higher scores indicate more greed, lower scores indicate more fear.
RSP / QQQ Ratio β Long Term
Current Ratio
0.3293
20d change: +16.12%
Leading
QQQ
1βday streak
RSP data as of 2026-11-06
Ratio = RSP / QQQ using adjust-close prices (ET). Daily view uses trading days; weekly view uses Friday closes.
MA20 / MA200 are based on respective timeframes.
Holdings Comparison β CGDV Top 15 & QQQ Top 15
Β· Data as of 2026-11-09 12:20 ET
CCGDV only
QQQQ only
CQBoth
Live = Ubuntu proxy from Alpaca | Last close = most recent confirmed daily close | Daily % = that confirmed close vs prior confirmed close
CGDV Top 15
| Ticker | Sector | Price live / last close |
Day % live / last close day% |
Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CQ | MSFT | Information Technology |
β
$530.61
|
β
-0.99%
|
6.92% |
| CQ | NVDA | Information Technology |
β
$186.64
|
β
+2.78%
|
5.91% |
| CQ | META | Communication Services |
β
$610.15
|
β
+0.84%
|
4.06% |
| CQ | AVGO | Information Technology |
β
$293.69
|
β
+0.74%
|
4.04% |
| C | GE | Industrials |
β
$323.24
|
β
+2.70%
|
3.22% |
| C | RTX | Industrials |
β
$189.53
|
β
-1.22%
|
3.19% |
| C | CMCSA | Communication Services |
β
$24.39
|
β
-2.24%
|
3.15% |
| C | ORCL | Information Technology |
β
$116.10
|
β
+0.82%
|
2.77% |
| C | SBUX | Consumer Discretionary |
β
$105.41
|
β
-0.71%
|
2.64% |
| C | BATS | Consumer Staples |
β
$60.89
|
β
-3.47%
|
2.60% |
| CQ | AMZN | Consumer Discretionary |
β
$259.30
|
β
-0.35%
|
2.52% |
| C | UNP | Industrials |
β
$290.16
|
β
-2.61%
|
2.48% |
| C | CARR | Industrials |
β
$52.38
|
β
-1.56%
|
2.46% |
| CQ | CSCO | Information Technology |
β
$93.85
|
β
-1.95%
|
2.40% |
| C | LIN | Materials |
β
$515.25
|
β
-1.15%
|
2.33% |
QQQ Top 15
| Ticker | Price live / last close | Day % live / last close day% | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q | AAPL |
β
$342.37
|
β
-0.52%
|
8.52% |
| CQ | NVDA |
β
$186.64
|
β
+2.78%
|
7.67% |
| CQ | MSFT |
β
$530.61
|
β
-0.99%
|
6.72% |
| CQ | AMZN |
β
$259.30
|
β
-0.35%
|
4.77% |
| Q | MU |
β
$690.00
|
β
+5.12%
|
3.67% |
| Q | AMD |
β
$449.04
|
β
+11.04%
|
3.45% |
| Q | TSLA |
β
$358.22
|
β
+4.23%
|
3.21% |
| CQ | META |
β
$610.15
|
β
+0.84%
|
3.09% |
| Q | WMT |
β
$125.52
|
β
-1.72%
|
2.87% |
| Q | GOOGL |
β
$284.78
|
β
+0.78%
|
2.85% |
| Q | SPCX |
β
$134.27
|
β
+8.62%
|
2.71% |
| Q | GOOG |
β
$283.93
|
β
+0.78%
|
2.68% |
| CQ | AVGO |
β
$293.69
|
β
+0.74%
|
2.38% |
| Q | COST |
β
$1,053.56
|
β
-1.13%
|
2.20% |
| CQ | CSCO |
β
$93.85
|
β
-1.95%
|
1.74% |
CGDV Deep Analytics
Β· 2026-11-06 (inception 2022-02-24)
MEDIUM
1Y Total Return
+13.48%
CAGR: +13.48% | VOO: +10.96%
1Y Alpha vs VOO
+2.96%
annualized excess return
1Y Beta vs VOO
0.94
RΒ²=0.90 Β· β Defensive
1Y Sharpe (RF=4%)
0.72
VOO: 0.55 QQQ: 0.27
Max Drawdown (1Y)
-9.75%
VOO: -8.90%
Down Capture (1Y)
89.7%
Up capture: 94.4%
Volatility (1Y)
13.37%
VOO: 13.49%
Calmar Ratio (1Y)
1.38
1Y CAGR Γ· |1Y Max DD|
Multi-Window Performance vs Benchmarks
Β· 1W/1M short windows hide CAGR/Sharpe/Alpha (annualising short windows is misleading) Β· CGDV 1Y column highlighted
| Metric | CGDV 1W | CGDV 1M | CGDV 3M | CGDV 6M | CGDV 1Y | VOO 1Y | QQQ 1Y | SCHD 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Return | β | -4.36% | -6.97% | +0.55% | +13.48% | +10.96% | +7.77% | +37.27% |
| CAGR (Ann.) | β | β | -26.14% | +1.12% | +13.48% | +10.96% | +7.77% | +37.27% |
| Volatility | β | β | +13.12% | +13.28% | +13.37% | +13.49% | +21.23% | +11.78% |
| Max Drawdown | β | -4.55% | -7.53% | -7.53% | -9.75% | -8.90% | -14.82% | -6.87% |
| Sharpe | β | β | -2.48 | -0.15 | 0.72 | 0.55 | 0.27 | 2.42 |
| Beta vs VOO | β | β | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.46 | 0.23 |
| Alpha vs VOO | β | β | -11.94% | +1.06% | +2.96% | +0.00% | -6.58% | +34.85% |
| * All Beta/Alpha computed vs VOO (S&P 500, 0.03% ER). Beta Drift card and Deep Analytics section both use VOO as benchmark. | ||||||||
Price Performance (Indexed to 100)
RSI (14-day) β Current Levels
CGDV
35.7
WEAK
VOO
35.2
WEAK
QQQ
31.4
WEAK
SCHD
55.6
NEUTRAL
Rolling 20-Day Returns β CGDV vs Benchmarks
Rolling 20-Day Excess Return vs VOO
Risk Metrics (1Y)
Down Capture
89.7%
vs VOO down days
Up Capture
94.4%
vs VOO up days
Calmar
1.38
CAGR Γ· |Max DD|
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs VOO
Relative Momentum (20d = 20 trading days β 1 month)
| Window | CGDV | vs VOO | vs QQQ | vs SCHD | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | -2.85% | -0.14% | +2.13% | -1.14% | 1d |
| 20d β 1M | -4.30% | +1.24% | +8.37% | -10.75% | 1d |
| 60d β 3M | -7.53% | -2.32% | +2.75% | -10.49% | 1d |
Sector Allocation (from Top 15)
22.0%
11.4%
7.2%
5.2%
2.6%
2.3%
Rolling 20-Day Annualised Volatility β CGDV
Correlation Matrix (1Y Daily Returns)
π΄ ACTION Layer β May Require Position Review
CRITICAL20d momentum collapse vs SCHD: -10.75%
βΉοΈ INFO Layer β Monitor, No Action Needed
WARNBear mode: QQQ $656.10 is 4.54% below MA180 ($687.34)
Alert Thresholds Reference
| # | Signal | Condition | Layer | Threshold | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alpha Negative | 1Y Alpha (vs VOO) < β2% | ACTION | β2.00% | Active mgmt underperforming |
| 2 | Beta Defensive Loss | 1Y Beta (vs VOO) > 1.05 | ACTION | 1.05Γ | Defensive profile lost |
| 3 | Alpha Deterioration | 1M Alpha < β10% AND 3M Alpha < 0% | ACTION | β10% / 0% | Confirmed multi-period underperformance |
| 4 | Momentum Collapse | 20d excess return vs any benchmark < β4% | ACTION | β4.00% | Severe near-term lag, possible rotation |
| 5 | RSI Severe Divergence | QQQ RSI β CGDV RSI > 15 pts | ACTION | 15 pts | CGDV badly lagging growth |
| 6 | Alpha Flash Crash | 1M Alpha < β20%, but 3M still > 0% | INFO | β20% | Short-term noise, medium-term intact |
| 7 | Beta Weakening | 1Y Beta (vs VOO) > 0.95 | INFO | 0.95Γ | Narrowing defensive cushion |
| 8 | Momentum Weak | 20d excess return vs benchmark < β2% | INFO | β2.00% | Near-term lag, watch persistence |
| 9 | RSI Divergence | QQQ RSI β CGDV RSI > 8 pts | INFO | 8 pts | QQQ momentum diverging |
| 10 | Bear Market Mode | QQQ below 180-day MA | INFO | MA(180) | Macro risk-off regime |
Risk state: HIGH (β₯2 ACTION CRITICAL) |
MEDIUM (β₯1 ACTION CRITICAL or β₯3 ACTION WARN) |
LOW (β₯1 ACTION WARN) |
NORMAL (no ACTION alerts)