Macro Environment
ETF Overview
CGDV
Capital Group Dividend Value
$48.93
β
$49.03
+0.20%
last close
-1.39% 20d
0.80x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 44.95
QQQ
Invesco Nasdaq-100
$709.80
β
$718.36
+1.21%
last close
-3.12% 20d
1.02x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 41.26
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500
$701.61
β
$704.60
+0.43%
last close
-0.89% 20d
0.74x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 47.57
RSP
Equal Weight S&P 500
$214.09
β
$213.40
-0.32%
last close
+0.34% 20d
0.72x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 51.75
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend
$34.35
β
$34.24
-0.32%
last close
+2.35% 20d
0.88x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 64.51
ALLW
Bridgewater All Weather
$29.09
β
$28.89
-0.69%
last close
-2.84% 20d
0.52x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 44.92
TQQQ
3x Leveraged Nasdaq-100
$68.21
β
$70.64
+3.56%
last close
-10.31% 20d
1.03x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 39.63
SOXL
3x Leveraged Semiconductors
$93.67
β
$98.65
+5.32%
last close
-30.45% 20d
1.33x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 33.43
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
$382.01
β
$379.69
-0.61%
last close
-4.69% 20d
0.65x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 43.54
LVHI
WisdomTree Low Vol High Div
$42.85
β
$42.55
-0.70%
last close
+0.14% 20d
0.94x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 57.32
VUG
Vanguard Growth
$87.93
β
$88.82
+1.01%
last close
-2.32% 20d
0.92x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 43.87
VTV
Vanguard Value
$223.41
β
$222.21
-0.54%
last close
+0.58% 20d
1.03x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 56.05
QQQ Technical Β· as of 2026-10-19
| MA | Value | Price vs MA | Trend(5d) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA5 | $725.74 | -1.02% | -3.137% |
| MA20 | $741.36 | -3.10% | +0.019% |
| MA120 | $716.64 | +0.24% | +0.296% |
| MA200 | $674.19 | +6.55% | +0.309% |
RSI 14
41.26
Neutral Β· based on the most recent confirmed daily close at generation time
VIX Index β 60D
Current
18.44
-7.75%
Higher VIX = higher implied volatility / risk perception.
CGDV Beta Drift (vs VOO) Β· as of 2026-10-19
1y0.932
6m0.926
3m0.920
1m0.973
Beta < 0.90 = defensive | Beta > 1.0 = aggressive | vs VOO
CGDV Holdings Β· as of 2026-10-16 | 52 stocks | Top 10: 41.6%
Position Changes (2026-10-15 β 2026-10-16)
Cash
2.62%
β² 0.04%
β² Top Buys (share % chg)
No significant buys
βΌ Top Sells (share % chg)
No significant sells
No new / closed positions
Fear & Greed β 30 Day Trend
CNN Fear & Greed index; higher scores indicate more greed, lower scores indicate more fear.
RSP / QQQ Ratio β Long Term
Current Ratio
0.2971
20d change: +3.57%
Leading
QQQ
1βday streak
RSP data as of 2026-10-19
Ratio = RSP / QQQ using adjust-close prices (ET). Daily view uses trading days; weekly view uses Friday closes.
MA20 / MA200 are based on respective timeframes.
Holdings Comparison β CGDV Top 15 & QQQ Top 15
Β· Data as of 2026-10-19 18:00 ET
CCGDV only
QQQQ only
CQBoth
Live = Ubuntu proxy from Alpaca | Last close = most recent confirmed daily close | Daily % = that confirmed close vs prior confirmed close
CGDV Top 15
| Ticker | Sector | Price live / last close |
Day % live / last close day% |
Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CQ | MSFT | Information Technology |
β
$533.52
|
β
+0.84%
|
8.14% |
| CQ | NVDA | Information Technology |
β
$217.09
|
β
+1.38%
|
6.53% |
| CQ | META | Communication Services |
β
$705.44
|
β
-0.55%
|
5.18% |
| CQ | AVGO | Information Technology |
β
$334.59
|
β
+1.78%
|
4.30% |
| CQ | GOOGL | Communication Services |
β
$344.18
|
β
+1.05%
|
3.65% |
| C | RTX | Industrials |
β
$192.11
|
β
-0.93%
|
3.01% |
| C | GE | Industrials |
β
$311.28
|
β
-0.81%
|
2.91% |
| C | ORCL | Information Technology |
β
$129.59
|
β
+1.06%
|
2.91% |
| C | CSCO | Information Technology |
β
$106.50
|
β
-0.83%
|
2.58% |
| C | BATS | Consumer Staples |
β
$58.51
|
β
-2.48%
|
2.44% |
| CQ | AAPL | Information Technology |
β
$342.94
|
β
-0.15%
|
2.42% |
| C | CMCSA | Communication Services |
β
$21.90
|
β
+0.00%
|
2.37% |
| C | SBUX | Consumer Discretionary |
β
$97.87
|
β
+0.36%
|
2.29% |
| C | CARR | Industrials |
β
$55.21
|
β
+0.38%
|
2.28% |
| C | UNP | Industrials |
β
$287.01
|
β
-0.70%
|
2.26% |
QQQ Top 15
| Ticker | Price live / last close | Day % live / last close day% | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CQ | NVDA |
β
$217.09
|
β
+1.38%
|
8.14% |
| CQ | AAPL |
β
$342.94
|
β
-0.15%
|
7.91% |
| CQ | MSFT |
β
$533.52
|
β
+0.84%
|
6.20% |
| Q | MU |
β
$904.90
|
β
+2.97%
|
4.32% |
| Q | AMZN |
β
$262.45
|
β
+4.98%
|
4.25% |
| Q | AMD |
β
$538.05
|
β
+1.76%
|
3.76% |
| CQ | META |
β
$705.44
|
β
-0.55%
|
3.33% |
| CQ | GOOGL |
β
$344.18
|
β
+1.05%
|
3.15% |
| Q | TSLA |
β
$368.06
|
β
+3.76%
|
2.94% |
| Q | GOOG |
β
$340.16
|
β
+0.96%
|
2.94% |
| Q | SPCX |
β
$147.96
|
β
+1.32%
|
2.73% |
| Q | WMT |
β
$118.70
|
β
-0.09%
|
2.52% |
| CQ | AVGO |
β
$334.59
|
β
+1.78%
|
2.47% |
| Q | INTC |
β
$92.03
|
β
+2.43%
|
2.06% |
| Q | COST |
β
$995.53
|
β
+0.65%
|
1.91% |
CGDV Deep Analytics
Β· 2026-10-19 (inception 2022-02-24)
NORMAL
1Y Total Return
+18.56%
CAGR: +18.45% | VOO: +16.69%
1Y Alpha vs VOO
+2.71%
annualized excess return
1Y Beta vs VOO
0.93
RΒ²=0.88 Β· β Defensive
1Y Sharpe (RF=4%)
1.11
VOO: 0.97 QQQ: 0.80
Max Drawdown (1Y)
-9.75%
VOO: -8.90%
Down Capture (1Y)
89.6%
Up capture: 93.3%
Volatility (1Y)
12.57%
VOO: 12.67%
Calmar Ratio (1Y)
1.89
1Y CAGR Γ· |1Y Max DD|
Multi-Window Performance vs Benchmarks
Β· 1W/1M short windows hide CAGR/Sharpe/Alpha (annualising short windows is misleading) Β· CGDV 1Y column highlighted
| Metric | CGDV 1W | CGDV 1M | CGDV 3M | CGDV 6M | CGDV 1Y | VOO 1Y | QQQ 1Y | SCHD 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Return | β | -1.17% | -0.02% | +8.01% | +18.56% | +16.69% | +19.51% | +32.29% |
| CAGR (Ann.) | β | β | -0.08% | +16.81% | +18.45% | +16.60% | +19.39% | +32.09% |
| Volatility | β | β | +10.76% | +11.72% | +12.57% | +12.67% | +19.86% | +11.14% |
| Max Drawdown | β | -1.79% | -5.62% | -5.62% | -9.75% | -8.90% | -11.96% | -6.87% |
| Sharpe | β | β | -0.33 | 1.04 | 1.11 | 0.97 | 0.80 | 2.22 |
| Beta vs VOO | β | β | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.45 | 0.22 |
| Alpha vs VOO | β | β | -9.95% | -1.25% | +2.71% | +0.00% | -3.72% | +28.64% |
| * All Beta/Alpha computed vs VOO (S&P 500, 0.03% ER). Beta Drift card and Deep Analytics section both use VOO as benchmark. | ||||||||
Price Performance (Indexed to 100)
RSI (14-day) β Current Levels
CGDV
45.0
NEUTRAL
VOO
47.6
NEUTRAL
QQQ
41.3
NEUTRAL
SCHD
64.5
NEUTRAL
Rolling 20-Day Returns β CGDV vs Benchmarks
Rolling 20-Day Excess Return vs VOO
Risk Metrics (1Y)
Down Capture
89.6%
vs VOO down days
Up Capture
93.3%
vs VOO up days
Calmar
1.89
CAGR Γ· |Max DD|
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs VOO
Relative Momentum (20d = 20 trading days β 1 month)
| Window | CGDV | vs VOO | vs QQQ | vs SCHD | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | -1.11% | +0.36% | +2.60% | -4.06% | 1d |
| 20d β 1M | -1.39% | -0.49% | +1.73% | -3.74% | 1d |
| 60d β 3M | +0.37% | -3.65% | -4.73% | -3.31% | 1d |
Sector Allocation (from Top 15)
26.9%
11.2%
10.5%
2.4%
2.3%
Rolling 20-Day Annualised Volatility β CGDV
Correlation Matrix (1Y Daily Returns)
π΄ ACTION Layer β May Require Position Review
β No action-level alerts
βΉοΈ INFO Layer β Monitor, No Action Needed
WARN20d momentum weak vs SCHD: -3.74%
Alert Thresholds Reference
| # | Signal | Condition | Layer | Threshold | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alpha Negative | 1Y Alpha (vs VOO) < β2% | ACTION | β2.00% | Active mgmt underperforming |
| 2 | Beta Defensive Loss | 1Y Beta (vs VOO) > 1.05 | ACTION | 1.05Γ | Defensive profile lost |
| 3 | Alpha Deterioration | 1M Alpha < β10% AND 3M Alpha < 0% | ACTION | β10% / 0% | Confirmed multi-period underperformance |
| 4 | Momentum Collapse | 20d excess return vs any benchmark < β4% | ACTION | β4.00% | Severe near-term lag, possible rotation |
| 5 | RSI Severe Divergence | QQQ RSI β CGDV RSI > 15 pts | ACTION | 15 pts | CGDV badly lagging growth |
| 6 | Alpha Flash Crash | 1M Alpha < β20%, but 3M still > 0% | INFO | β20% | Short-term noise, medium-term intact |
| 7 | Beta Weakening | 1Y Beta (vs VOO) > 0.95 | INFO | 0.95Γ | Narrowing defensive cushion |
| 8 | Momentum Weak | 20d excess return vs benchmark < β2% | INFO | β2.00% | Near-term lag, watch persistence |
| 9 | RSI Divergence | QQQ RSI β CGDV RSI > 8 pts | INFO | 8 pts | QQQ momentum diverging |
| 10 | Bear Market Mode | QQQ below 180-day MA | INFO | MA(180) | Macro risk-off regime |
Risk state: HIGH (β₯2 ACTION CRITICAL) |
MEDIUM (β₯1 ACTION CRITICAL or β₯3 ACTION WARN) |
LOW (β₯1 ACTION WARN) |
NORMAL (no ACTION alerts)