Macro Environment
ETF Overview
CGDV
Capital Group Dividend Value
$49.46
β
$49.06
-0.81%
last close
-2.58% 20d
0.94x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 43.37
QQQ
Invesco Nasdaq-100
$744.50
β
$736.53
-1.07%
last close
+2.91% 20d
1.25x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 58.73
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500
$710.79
β
$703.61
-1.01%
last close
-0.51% 20d
0.91x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 49.8
RSP
Equal Weight S&P 500
$211.11
β
$209.74
-0.65%
last close
-4.60% 20d
1.28x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 35.2
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend
$33.21
β
$33.01
-0.60%
last close
-4.66% 20d
1.21x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 33.77
ALLW
Bridgewater All Weather
$29.16
β
$28.66
-1.70%
last close
-4.97% 20d
1.14x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 30.99
TQQQ
3x Leveraged Nasdaq-100
$79.60
β
$77.04
-3.22%
last close
+7.43% 20d
1.17x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 57.22
SOXL
3x Leveraged Semiconductors
$151.45
β
$142.29
-6.05%
last close
+27.88% 20d
1.19x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 56.35
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
$393.41
β
$377.91
-3.94%
last close
-7.58% 20d
1.38x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 35.34
LVHI
WisdomTree Low Vol High Div
$42.36
β
$42.27
-0.21%
last close
-0.54% 20d
0.65x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 47.56
VUG
Vanguard Growth
$90.94
β
$90.04
-0.99%
last close
+1.69% 20d
1.24x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 57.39
VTV
Vanguard Value
$220.81
β
$218.38
-1.10%
last close
-3.07% 20d
1.14x vol vs 20d avg
RSI 34.81
QQQ Technical Β· as of 2026-09-28
| MA | Value | Price vs MA | Trend(5d) |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA5 | $742.16 | -0.76% | +2.232% |
| MA20 | $721.36 | +2.10% | +0.745% |
| MA120 | $703.70 | +4.67% | +0.742% |
| MA200 | $664.72 | +10.80% | +0.360% |
RSI 14
58.73
Neutral Β· based on the most recent confirmed daily close at generation time
VIX Index β 60D
Current
16.07
+8.07%
Higher VIX = higher implied volatility / risk perception.
CGDV Beta Drift (vs VOO) Β· as of 2026-09-28
1y0.927
6m0.936
3m0.892
1m0.903
Beta < 0.90 = defensive | Beta > 1.0 = aggressive | vs VOO
CGDV Holdings Β· as of 2026-09-25 | 52 stocks | Top 10: 42.3%
Position Changes (2026-09-24 β 2026-09-25)
Cash
2.65%
β² 0.39%
β² Top Buys (share % chg)
STX
+0.27%
(1.25%)
MA
+0.27%
(1.46%)
GD
+0.27%
(0.87%)
MCD
+0.27%
(0.82%)
AMGN
+0.27%
(0.95%)
βΌ Top Sells (share % chg)
BATS
-0.18%
(2.24%)
No new / closed positions
Fear & Greed β 30 Day Trend
CNN Fear & Greed index; higher scores indicate more greed, lower scores indicate more fear.
RSP / QQQ Ratio β Long Term
Current Ratio
0.2848
20d change: -7.30%
Leading
RSP
1βday streak
RSP data as of 2026-09-28
Ratio = RSP / QQQ using adjust-close prices (ET). Daily view uses trading days; weekly view uses Friday closes.
MA20 / MA200 are based on respective timeframes.
Holdings Comparison β CGDV Top 15 & QQQ Top 15
Β· Data as of 2026-09-28 18:00 ET
CCGDV only
QQQQ only
CQBoth
Live = Ubuntu proxy from Alpaca | Last close = most recent confirmed daily close | Daily % = that confirmed close vs prior confirmed close
CGDV Top 15
| Ticker | Sector | Price live / last close |
Day % live / last close day% |
Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CQ | MSFT | Information Technology |
β
$509.22
|
β
-1.35%
|
7.82% |
| CQ | NVDA | Information Technology |
β
$228.86
|
β
+1.68%
|
6.76% |
| CQ | META | Communication Services |
β
$715.62
|
β
-4.79%
|
5.64% |
| CQ | AVGO | Information Technology |
β
$349.57
|
β
-0.92%
|
4.55% |
| CQ | GOOGL | Communication Services |
β
$342.75
|
β
-0.34%
|
3.63% |
| C | ORCL | Information Technology |
β
$132.60
|
β
-3.28%
|
3.06% |
| C | GE | Industrials |
β
$318.24
|
β
-2.71%
|
2.99% |
| C | RTX | Industrials |
β
$187.66
|
β
-0.92%
|
2.90% |
| C | CSCO | Information Technology |
β
$106.74
|
β
+0.04%
|
2.52% |
| CQ | AAPL | Information Technology |
β
$338.40
|
β
-0.78%
|
2.39% |
| C | CMCSA | Communication Services |
β
$21.79
|
β
-0.55%
|
2.33% |
| C | CARR | Industrials |
β
$55.87
|
β
-0.89%
|
2.30% |
| C | TSM | Information Technology |
β
$452.88
|
β
+0.50%
|
2.29% |
| C | BATS | Consumer Staples |
β
$56.05
|
β
+0.75%
|
2.24% |
| C | SBUX | Consumer Discretionary |
β
$95.27
|
β
+0.43%
|
2.19% |
QQQ Top 15
| Ticker | Price live / last close | Day % live / last close day% | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CQ | NVDA |
β
$228.86
|
β
+1.68%
|
8.17% |
| CQ | AAPL |
β
$338.40
|
β
-0.78%
|
7.40% |
| CQ | MSFT |
β
$509.22
|
β
-1.35%
|
5.58% |
| Q | MU |
β
$1,053.98
|
β
-2.61%
|
5.09% |
| Q | AMD |
β
$607.87
|
β
-3.61%
|
4.28% |
| Q | AMZN |
β
$246.15
|
β
-1.41%
|
4.06% |
| CQ | META |
β
$715.62
|
β
-4.79%
|
3.49% |
| CQ | GOOGL |
β
$342.75
|
β
-0.34%
|
3.03% |
| Q | TSLA |
β
$357.45
|
β
-3.94%
|
3.00% |
| Q | GOOG |
β
$339.16
|
β
-0.56%
|
2.83% |
| Q | INTC |
β
$116.03
|
β
-5.67%
|
2.79% |
| Q | SPCX |
β
$145.47
|
β
-2.16%
|
2.65% |
| CQ | AVGO |
β
$349.57
|
β
-0.92%
|
2.52% |
| Q | WMT |
β
$108.73
|
β
+0.69%
|
2.18% |
| Q | PLTR |
β
$187.48
|
β
-1.15%
|
1.85% |
CGDV Deep Analytics
Β· 2026-09-28 (inception 2022-02-24)
HIGH
1Y Total Return
+18.82%
CAGR: +18.71% | VOO: +16.68%
1Y Alpha vs VOO
+3.04%
annualized excess return
1Y Beta vs VOO
0.93
RΒ²=0.89 Β· β Defensive
1Y Sharpe (RF=4%)
1.11
VOO: 0.95 QQQ: 0.99
Max Drawdown (1Y)
-9.75%
VOO: -8.90%
Down Capture (1Y)
88.7%
Up capture: 93.2%
Volatility (1Y)
12.72%
VOO: 12.95%
Calmar Ratio (1Y)
1.92
1Y CAGR Γ· |1Y Max DD|
Multi-Window Performance vs Benchmarks
Β· 1W/1M short windows hide CAGR/Sharpe/Alpha (annualising short windows is misleading) Β· CGDV 1Y column highlighted
| Metric | CGDV 1W | CGDV 1M | CGDV 3M | CGDV 6M | CGDV 1Y | VOO 1Y | QQQ 1Y | SCHD 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Return | β | -1.72% | -0.45% | +19.00% | +18.82% | +16.68% | +24.17% | +25.57% |
| CAGR (Ann.) | β | β | -1.80% | +41.75% | +18.71% | +16.58% | +24.02% | +25.42% |
| Volatility | β | β | +10.67% | +12.95% | +12.72% | +12.95% | +19.96% | +11.19% |
| Max Drawdown | β | -3.09% | -5.62% | -5.62% | -9.75% | -8.90% | -11.96% | -5.50% |
| Sharpe | β | β | -0.49 | 2.47 | 1.11 | 0.95 | 0.99 | 1.74 |
| Beta vs VOO | β | β | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 0.26 |
| Alpha vs VOO | β | β | -10.12% | -1.53% | +3.04% | +0.00% | +0.35% | +21.27% |
| * All Beta/Alpha computed vs VOO (S&P 500, 0.03% ER). Beta Drift card and Deep Analytics section both use VOO as benchmark. | ||||||||
Price Performance (Indexed to 100)
RSI (14-day) β Current Levels
CGDV
43.4
NEUTRAL
VOO
49.8
NEUTRAL
QQQ
58.7
NEUTRAL
SCHD
33.8
WEAK
Rolling 20-Day Returns β CGDV vs Benchmarks
Rolling 20-Day Excess Return vs VOO
Risk Metrics (1Y)
Down Capture
88.7%
vs VOO down days
Up Capture
93.2%
vs VOO up days
Calmar
1.92
CAGR Γ· |Max DD|
Rolling 60-Day Beta vs VOO
Relative Momentum (20d = 20 trading days β 1 month)
| Window | CGDV | vs VOO | vs QQQ | vs SCHD | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | -1.33% | -0.04% | -0.66% | +-0.00% | 0d |
| 20d β 1M | -2.58% | -2.07% | -5.49% | +2.08% | 0d |
| 60d β 3M | +0.22% | -2.52% | -3.24% | -2.50% | 0d |
Sector Allocation (from Top 15)
29.4%
11.6%
8.2%
2.2%
2.2%
Rolling 20-Day Annualised Volatility β CGDV
Correlation Matrix (1Y Daily Returns)
π΄ ACTION Layer β May Require Position Review
CRITICALAlpha confirmed deterioration: 1M -18.9% AND 3M -10.1% both negative
CRITICALRSI divergence: CGDV 43 vs QQQ 59 (gap 15 pts)
CRITICAL20d momentum collapse vs QQQ: -5.49%
βΉοΈ INFO Layer β Monitor, No Action Needed
WARN20d momentum weak vs VOO: -2.07%
Alert Thresholds Reference
| # | Signal | Condition | Layer | Threshold | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alpha Negative | 1Y Alpha (vs VOO) < β2% | ACTION | β2.00% | Active mgmt underperforming |
| 2 | Beta Defensive Loss | 1Y Beta (vs VOO) > 1.05 | ACTION | 1.05Γ | Defensive profile lost |
| 3 | Alpha Deterioration | 1M Alpha < β10% AND 3M Alpha < 0% | ACTION | β10% / 0% | Confirmed multi-period underperformance |
| 4 | Momentum Collapse | 20d excess return vs any benchmark < β4% | ACTION | β4.00% | Severe near-term lag, possible rotation |
| 5 | RSI Severe Divergence | QQQ RSI β CGDV RSI > 15 pts | ACTION | 15 pts | CGDV badly lagging growth |
| 6 | Alpha Flash Crash | 1M Alpha < β20%, but 3M still > 0% | INFO | β20% | Short-term noise, medium-term intact |
| 7 | Beta Weakening | 1Y Beta (vs VOO) > 0.95 | INFO | 0.95Γ | Narrowing defensive cushion |
| 8 | Momentum Weak | 20d excess return vs benchmark < β2% | INFO | β2.00% | Near-term lag, watch persistence |
| 9 | RSI Divergence | QQQ RSI β CGDV RSI > 8 pts | INFO | 8 pts | QQQ momentum diverging |
| 10 | Bear Market Mode | QQQ below 180-day MA | INFO | MA(180) | Macro risk-off regime |
Risk state: HIGH (β₯2 ACTION CRITICAL) |
MEDIUM (β₯1 ACTION CRITICAL or β₯3 ACTION WARN) |
LOW (β₯1 ACTION WARN) |
NORMAL (no ACTION alerts)